\n Posted on: September 19, 2025, 08:50h.\u00a0\n <\/p>\n
\n Last updated on: September 19, 2025, 09:05h.\n <\/p>\n
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- Cowboys versus Bears most bet game going into Week 3<\/b><\/li>\n
- Bills handle the Dolphins, but don\u2019t cover the spread<\/b><\/li>\n
- Burrow, Purdy, Daniels out with injuries\u00a0<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
Phill Gray<\/a>, the former head of trading operations at Sports Interaction for more than 20 years, and an industry consultant, has seen a few things, with the \u201cbrutal start\u201d for the sportsbooks in NFL betting<\/a> heading into Week 3<\/strong> right up there.<\/p>\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/www.casino.org\/news\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/09\/NFL-Lamar-Jackson-Ravens-858x572.jpeg\")
Lamar Jackson of the Baltimore Ravens looks to pass against the Cleveland Browns at M&T Bank Stadium last weekend. The Ravens take on the Detroit Lions Monday night. Image by Michael Owens\/Getty Images.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n Favourites Dominating<\/h2>\n
With favourites straight up 25-8 so far, parlays and teasers are the talk of the day, he says.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
\u201cTotals and props may do okay with the under\u00a0coming in at about 50%, but the rate of favourite outright wins leaves huge\u00a0negative in total GGR<\/strong>,\u201d he says.<\/p>\n
Last night\u2019s Buffalo Bills win over the Miami Dolphins \u2013 31-21 \u2013 was right on script, although the Bills didn\u2019t cover (-12.5 at kickoff).<\/p>\n
Burrow Surgery Today<\/h2>\n
\u201cIf there\u2019s not a few upsets to negate that it certainly could be another big win for the public,\u201d Gray says. \u201cParlays right now are sitting about -8% on sides, normally that should be about 15%. It\u2019s a very tough start to the season for the house. Straight bets at 54.5% right now for favs is close to the norm and there is some hold there, but again moneyline and teaser combos are just smashing it for the regular bettor with that 76% rate of fav outright wins.\u201d<\/em><\/p>\n
Today\u2019s news NFL headlines impacting betting are led by the news that Bengals\u2019 quarterback Joe Burrow underwent surgery today on his toe, the surgery went well, and there\u2019s no timeline on his return. Burrow of course was an MVP betting favourite going into the season, up there with the Bills\u2019 QB Josh Allen and Ravens\u2019 QB Lamar Jackson.<\/p>\n
Purdy Injury Update<\/h2>\n
San Francisco 49ers\u2019 QB Brock Purdy, dealing with shoulder and toe issues, is \u201chighly unlikely\u201d<\/a> to start Sunday against the Cardinals. And Commanders QB Jayden Daniels will miss Sunday\u2019s game against the Raiders with a knee injury.<\/p>\n
According to Adrian Horton, Senior Director, North American Sports Trading, ESPN BET<\/a>, Cowboys versus Bears is the most bet game on the schedule for Sunday.<\/p>\n
\u201cAction has flipped the line from Bears \u20131.5 to Cowboys \u20131.5 on the road as of Friday, with two thirds of tickets and over 75% of handle coming in on Dallas,\u201d he said.<\/em><\/p>\n
Lions-Ravens Total Up To 52.5<\/h2>\n
\u201cPackers-Browns is also one of our most bets games of the weekend, though in even more lopsided fashion as nearly 90% of bets and handle have come in on Green Bay at \u20137.5. In a playoff rematch, the Eagles are getting nearly 60% of spread tickets and handle to keep the line at \u20133.5 when they host the Rams on Sunday.\u201d<\/p>\n
The Lions \u2013 Ravens total (now 54.5) is also up another point from midweek, and up two since opening at 52.5. The Vikings are back in to \u20132.5 at home against the Colts. Minnesota opened \u20133.5, were down to \u20132.5 on Tuesday, and back to \u20133.5 on Wednesday. The total in Steelers-Pats is up a point from open and is now 44.5.<\/p>\n
Chiefs Look for First Win<\/h2>\n
- Bills handle the Dolphins, but don\u2019t cover the spread<\/b><\/li>\n