{"id":109102,"date":"2026-04-29T13:50:41","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T13:50:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/29\/the-ohtani-effect-and-more-whats-behind-bay-area-transits-comeback\/"},"modified":"2026-04-29T13:50:41","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T13:50:41","slug":"the-ohtani-effect-and-more-whats-behind-bay-area-transits-comeback","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/2026\/04\/29\/the-ohtani-effect-and-more-whats-behind-bay-area-transits-comeback\/","title":{"rendered":"The \u2018Ohtani Effect\u2019 and More: What\u2019s Behind Bay Area Transit\u2019s Comeback"},"content":{"rendered":"<p> <br \/>\n<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s been the kind of spring Bay Area transit agencies have been hoping for.<\/p>\n<p>BART, Caltrain and Muni reported record-breaking post-pandemic ridership in March, as they continue to claw their way back from drops in usage and revenue wrought by the pandemic and hybrid work schedules. There\u2019s no one reason for the uptick, but explanations range from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kqed.org\/news\/12077385\/12077385\">higher fuel prices<\/a> due to the war in Iran, an unseasonably warm March, and an earlier-than-usual start of the Giants&#8217; season, to name a few.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe\u2019re calling it the Ohtani effect,\u201d said BART General Manager Robert Powers, referencing the draw of the Dodgers star player after the agency in April came close to smashing its record for busiest post-pandemic day, when the Dodgers were in town to play the Giants.<\/p>\n<p><!-- to be implemented later --><\/p>\n<p>The agency did hit that milestone nearly a month earlier, however, on March 25, with 227,300 exits, coinciding with the Giants Opening Day \u2014 a feat that, in turn, broke the previous record set in February, during Super Bowl LX week.<\/p>\n<p>The San Francisco Municipal Transportation Agency, which operates Muni, the city\u2019s bus, light rail and streetcar service, reports total ridership hit 85% of pre-pandemic levels in March, with weekend ridership at 99% compared to the year prior. Caltrain saw a 33% jump \u2014 an increase of nearly 300,000 more people riding the rail line serving San Francisco and areas south.<\/p>\n<p>AC Transit spokesperson Robert Lyles said March ridership data was still not available due to \u201csoftware issues with a vendor that is currently impacting several key performance indicators.\u201d<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12081652\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12081652\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00540_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00540_TV-KQED.jpg 2000w, https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00540_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00540_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Transit riders exit a Muni train on King Street and Fourth Street in San Francisco on April 27, 2026. <cite>(T\u00e2m V\u0169\/KQED)<\/cite><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>The added revenue from the surge still falls far short of fixing the agencies\u2019 looming budget deficits, but agency officials said they welcomed the news.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u200aTypically, March is when things begin to creep up. But this isn&#8217;t a creep. This is a jump,\u201d said Dan Lieberman, a spokesman for Caltrain. \u201c\u200aIf this is what it feels like to just be warming up, we are going to have an outstanding summer.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>With AAA marking the average price of gas in San Francisco at $6.13 for a gallon of regular, it\u2019s likely that some commuters are deciding to switch from driving to riding public transit, according to Michael Anderson, who researches transportation economics at UC Berkeley. But dramatic impacts on public transit ridership would take time and depend on how long fuel prices remain elevated, he said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u200aYou might get an immediate group of switchers who are pretty flexible, but the majority of people who might change modes might need to rework their schedules or where they live before they would be able to substitute away from driving to taking transit,\u201d Anderson said. \u201c\u200aThere&#8217;s a lot of people for whom it&#8217;s not really feasible to just ditch the car.\u201d<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12081646\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12081646\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00304_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00304_TV-KQED.jpg 2000w, https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00304_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00304_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Andrew Jardner poses for a portrait at the Caltrain station on King Street and Fourth Street in San Francisco on April 27, 2026. <cite>(T\u00e2m V\u0169\/KQED)<\/cite><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Andrew Jardner, 32, started taking Caltrain six months ago, when he got a job working in software development in San Francisco. The Hillsdale resident now takes Caltrain and Muni to get to and from work three days a week, leaving his car at home.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u200aHaving the option to take the train was one of the reasons I accepted the job,\u201d Jardner said. \u201cI would&#8217;ve been more hesitant if I had to drive into the city.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Muni\u2019s ridership gains were driven by more people taking the agency\u2019s Metro service, which hit a post-pandemic record of 74% of 2019 levels in March, according to Michael Roccaforte, spokesperson for the SFMTA.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis is a big deal. Up to this point, the highest performing bus lines have been carrying system growth with Muni Metro ridership, and downtown being the missing piece of the puzzle,\u201d Roccaforte said.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12081653\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12081653\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00587_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00587_TV-KQED.jpg 2000w, https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00587_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00587_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Fernando Zermeno poses for a portrait at a Muni station on King Street and Fourth Street in San Francisco on April 27, 2026. <cite>(T\u00e2m V\u0169\/KQED)<\/cite><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Roccaforte said the increases were proof that the agency\u2019s Muni Forward <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sfmta.com\/projects\/muni-forward\">initiative<\/a>, which aims to make the service faster, safer and more reliable, was working to increase ridership.<\/p>\n<p>Fernando Zermeno moved to downtown San Francisco a year ago from Mexico and said he rides the T-Third Street line every day to take his daughter to and from daycare, and that he prefers the light rail over the bus.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u200aIt\u2019s more convenient and spacious,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n<p>BART has reported a steady monthly year-over-year growth in ridership of about 10%-13%. But March saw that number jump to nearly 20%. Still, BART\u2019s average weekday ridership is about half of what it was before the pandemic, according to monthly ridership reports.Caltrain, SFMTA and BART are all facing severe pandemic-related budget deficits beginning in the next fiscal year and are warning of steep service cuts unless voters in five Bay Area counties approve a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kqed.org\/news\/12070685\/campaign-to-avert-bay-area-public-transit-death-spiral-gets-underway\">regional sales tax measure<\/a> to provide additional funding.<\/p>\n<p>Volunteers are currently collecting signatures to get the measure on the November ballot, as well as a separate <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kqed.org\/news\/12074874\/amid-bid-to-save-bay-area-transit-muni-gets-a-campaign-of-its-own\">San Francisco-specific parcel tax measure<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u200aEven though we&#8217;re seeing multiple records for post-pandemic ridership, our fare revenue is still falling far short of what we need to sustain our operations,\u201d said Anna Duckworth, a spokesperson for BART, which is facing a $376 million budget deficit in the next fiscal year. \u201cContinued growth in ridership alone is not enough to close the funding gap.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>The same is true of the SFMTA, which has also been affected by less parking revenue and allocations from the city\u2019s general fund, Roccaforte said.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u200aThe pandemic really devastated our revenue sources,\u201d he said. \u201cThere&#8217;s no way that we can bridge that gap through fares alone.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>All three agencies have warned of drastic cuts in service if the regional sales tax measure doesn\u2019t pass.<\/p>\n<figure id=\"attachment_12081645\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\" style=\"max-width: 2000px\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-12081645\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00197_TV-KQED.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"2000\" height=\"1333\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00197_TV-KQED.jpg 2000w, https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00197_TV-KQED-160x107.jpg 160w, https:\/\/cdn.kqed.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/10\/2026\/04\/260428-TRANSITRIDERSHIPREBOUND00197_TV-KQED-1536x1024.jpg 1536w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 2000px) 100vw, 2000px\" \/><figcaption class=\"wp-caption-text\">Trains are stationed at the Caltrain station on King Street and Fourth Street in San Francisco on April 27, 2026. <cite>(T\u00e2m V\u0169\/KQED)<\/cite><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Rhea Kaur started taking Caltrain nine months ago, after graduating from college and landing a job at UC San Francisco working as a clinical research coordinator at its cancer center. She commutes from Gilroy three days a week.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u200aI drove for the first month or so, and it was pretty miserable. The ETA will say one thing, and then you get there two hours later. It was just very inconsistent and unreliable. So for that reason, I felt like Caltrain was better for me,\u201d Kaur said.<\/p>\n<p>If Caltrain were to reduce service or become less reliable, she said she\u2019d be forced to drive and would probably reconsider her employment.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe burnout from transporting myself for that far, for that long would honestly make me start looking for a new job,\u201d Kaur said.<\/p>\n<p><br \/>\n<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/ww2.kqed.org\/news\/2026\/04\/29\/the-ohtani-effect-and-more-whats-behind-bay-area-transits-comeback\/\">Source link <\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>It&#8217;s been the kind of spring Bay Area transit agencies have been hoping for. BART, Caltrain and Muni reported record-breaking post-pandemic ridership in March, as<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":109103,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"footnotes":""},"categories":[154,183],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-109102","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-education","category-spotlight"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109102","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=109102"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/109102\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/109103"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=109102"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=109102"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/neclink.com\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=109102"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}