\n Posted on: October 23, 2025, 07:55h.\u00a0\n <\/p>\n
\n Last updated on: October 23, 2025, 07:55h.\n <\/p>\n
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- Aspinall defends heavyweight title Saturday against Gane<\/b><\/li>\n
- Aspinall is -380 at Caesars Sportsbook<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
No, this weekend\u2019s heavyweight title fight at UFC 321 in Dubai isn\u2019t Jon Jones or Alex Pereira, but it can\u2019t be disputed that Tom Aspinall<\/a> and Ciryl Gane are the best heavyweight in MMA<\/strong>.<\/p>\n
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Tom Aspinall of England (left) and Ciryl Gane of France pose during the UFC 321 press conference at Etihad Arena today in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates. Photo by Jeff Bottari\/Zuffa LLC.<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n Tyson on MMA<\/h2>\n
Who better to listen to on the topic of heavyweight fighting than Mike Tyson? Tyson spoke to rapper Fat Joe for Hard Rock Bet<\/a> and was asked if ever considered becoming a UFC fighter.<\/p>\n
\u201cNo, because listen, five of the biggest UFC fighters combined couldn\u2019t match my pay,\u201d said Tyson. \u201cI want to be the biggest fighter, the biggest purse. I want all that stuff. When Mike Tyson fights, he shuts everything down.\u201d<\/em>\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
Still, Aspinall and Ciryl should get paid handsomely<\/a> for Saturday night\u2019s bout at Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi.<\/p>\n
Aspinall Big Betting Favourite<\/h2>\n
Mark Collier, a trader with BetVictor<\/a>, says he\u2019s biased towards Aspinall, since Aspinall is a British fighter, and he\u2019s a Brit himself.<\/p>\n
\u201cBoth Tom and Ciryl are powerful, technical, have speed and have multiple ways of winning a fight, attributes not usually associated with heavyweights,\u201d Collier told Casino.org. \u201cHowever, from the early betting activity with us, it seems that most are expecting this one over inside two rounds. Is this the old and typical mentality of betting from punters placing money on a heavyweight clash or completely intentional with who is on show this Saturday.\u201d<\/p>\n
His prediction \u2013 Aspinall by submission (+300 in Las Vegas), and Over 1.5 Rounds (-120 in Las Vegas).<\/p>\n
Ground Game<\/h2>\n
\u201cIn our opinion, with the nature of both the division and risks of any bout at this weight, you have to assume that Tom will want to further expose Gane\u2019s questionable grappling, somewhat replicating what Jon Jones did over two years ago (Round 1 Submission),\u201d said Collier.<\/p>\n
\u201cCiryl will want to keep this bout standing and at range therefore countering the other side of Aspinall\u2019s game and seeing if the Brit\u2019s cardio is good enough for the championship rounds.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n
\u201cWith this in consideration, we expect the bout to go Over 1.5 Rounds (currently 4\/6 with BetVictor) and Tom to absolutely dominate Ciryl on the ground. As much as Aspinall has the ability to do what Jones did back at UFC 285, you would expect Gane to have improved on this facet of his fight game, proving more durable.<\/p>\n
\u201cHowever, with Tom\u2019s mature fight IQ, temperament and patience, we think he will show that this new generation of heavyweight can win in a long-distance battle rather than just knock people out.\u201d<\/p>\n
Early Start for UFC Card<\/h2>\n
According to Brandon Yaeger, Combat Sports Lead Trader at Caesars Sportsbook<\/a>, Aspinall is very popular with bettors there, in part considering that Jones, considered by many to the greatest heavyweight of all time, seemed hesitant to fight him.<\/p>\n
\u201cI believe Tom Aspinall will dominate the majority of the money, primarily with parlay action since he is a -400 favorite and there isn\u2019t a ton of value there straight betting,\u201d he said.<\/p>\n
\u201cAs far as why, well, we\u2019ve already seen what Gane has to offer on the ground\u2026and that\u2019s nothing. Francis Ngannou, who wasn\u2019t a wrestler, controlled him (in January 2022), and Jones took him down and submitted him (at UFC 285 in March 2023) right away. I wouldn\u2019t be shocked to see Aspinall do the exact same against a guy who arguably shouldn\u2019t be getting a title fight to begin with.\u201d<\/p>\n
Women\u2019s Title Fight<\/h2>\n
UFC 321 starts at 2 p.m. EST on Saturday. Also on the main card is Virna Jandiroba versus Mackenzie Dern in a women\u2019s strawweight title bout.<\/p>\n
All eyes are on the heavyweight bout though.<\/p>\n
\u201cUsually when guys are at that price, people will take some value plays on the dog, but we\u2019ve yet to see that happen for this fight,\u201d said Yaeger. \u201cEven with the low straight bet count on him, [Aspinall] is a very popular anchor for the parlays, and I expect his Method of Victory and Round finish to be very popular this week.\u201d<\/p>\n
A quick scan at the odds: Aspinall is at -380 at Caesars Sportsbook, Gane at +300, at DraftKings<\/a> Aspinall is at -345, Gane at +275, and at FanDuel<\/a> Aspinall is at -400, Gane at +300.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
- Aspinall is -380 at Caesars Sportsbook<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n